Example Scenario

• Current Price (T0): 100

• Model Forecast: Up to 102 by end of round

• Your Bet: “Down” (predicting price will be below 100)

• Outcome (T1): Price rises to 100.5 → model’s forecast was closer, so bets predicting “Up” win, and “Down” wagers lose.

This illustrates that betting against the AI remains a true bet; if the model’s projected move occurs, contrary wagers are lost.